Win a CZ Shadow 2 9mm at SFRC

[Pimpbob]

Yikes. You win anything yet?

Cadex CDX R7 Shepherd Lite Comp 338 Lapua
BCL102 First Gen
Troy Northern Guard AR15
Excalibur crossbow

In a few hours I'll be able to add a CZ shadow 2, derya MK12 and a sw686 7shot to the list

[Halguy]

Cadex CDX R7 Shepherd Lite Comp 338 Lapua
BCL102 First Gen
Troy Northern Guard AR15
Excalibur crossbow

In a few hours I'll be able to add a CZ shadow 2, derya MK12 and a sw686 7shot to the list

Do you have a strategy when it comes to the # of tickets (ie. giving yourself a 25% chance), or is it just based on how much you want to win the gun?

[Pimpbob]

Do you have a strategy when it comes to the # of tickets (ie. giving yourself a 25% chance), or is it just based on how much you want to win the gun?

I was buying more for the guns I wanted more, but after a didn't win with 5 entries on a 16 entry draw, I'm doing 1 per draw that I want. Odds don't change statistically speaking. If there are 16 spots, and 1 draw, your odds are 1 in 16 no matter how many you buy.

Also note, I haven't won anything in my past $1000 spent

[Halguy]

I was buying more for the guns I wanted more, but after a didn't win with 5 entries on a 16 entry draw, I'm doing 1 per draw that I want. Odds don't change statistically speaking. If there are 16 spots, and 1 draw, your odds are 1 in 16 no matter how many you buy.

Also note, I haven't won anything in my past $1000 spent

Really? Its been a while since statistics, but if its a 16 entry draw and you bought 5 tickets, isn't that a 5/16 (~30%) chance?

[bcnorth]

You folks going to be doing this draw today?

[Pimpbob]

Really? Its been a while since statistics, but if its a 16 entry draw and you bought 5 tickets, isn't that a 5/16 (~30%) chance?

Nope. There's only 1 winner, so your odds are 1 in 16. Every potential number has the same chance of being pulled, and only 1 gets pulled. You can have 30% of the entries, but odds don't change. The only way to increase odds is to have each entry good for more than 1 draw

[philhut]

Come on 1 in 80 chance on this or that Marlin lever action. Good promotion

Of course there is a math skill testing question....how hard are we going to test those match skills? Lol

[Chemist]

You folks going to be doing this draw today?

We're just waiting for one person to send in an EMT then we will do the draw.

Ryan

[sphen]

Nope. There's only 1 winner, so your odds are 1 in 16. Every potential number has the same chance of being pulled, and only 1 gets pulled. You can have 30% of the entries, but odds don't change. The only way to increase odds is to have each entry good for more than 1 draw

If there are only 16 tickets sold, and you bought 5, then you have a 31.25% chance of winning. Each ticket has a 6.25% chance of winning. So yes, there is only a 1 in 16 chance any given ticket is pulled, but an overall chance of 31% that it's one of yours.

[Pimpbob]

Agreed.
Probability vs odds