You think the Norinco will dry up? Not anytime soon.
Everyone has it. Some have better pricing than others.....and I am sure not everything is 'on the floor'
Buy what you need or will use. There is lots of ammo out there.
In 1993:
oil was around $25/barrel. Today it is around $100/barrel - up 400%
copper was around $1/lbs. Today it is around $4/lbs - up 400%
lead was around $0.20/lbs. Today it is around $1/lbs - up 500%
zinc was around $0.40/lbs. Today it is around $0.90/lbs - up 225%
There is a finite quantity of 1993 manufactured .223. Once it's gone - it's the easiest call to make, that the price for any ammunition manufactured AFTER that time will rise in a similar fashion.
Remember - the price for them today is very much a reflection of the commodity prices of the time they were manufactured. It's the exact same thing as coinage - which is the REAL reason the Federal government killed the penny (it looks bad and calls into question the credibility of the government and safety of the currency they declare fiat when the commodity value of the currency is higher than it's face value).
The thing is, Norinco was manufacturing TONNES of firearms and ammunition for retail sale in the US in the 80's and 90's. When Clinton enacted the AWB in 1994, and outlawed import of Chinese firearms and ammunition this likely had 2 major consequences for Norinco:
1) Created a huge inventory of guns and ammo manufactured in the late 80's, early 90's that could no longer be sold to the largest firearms market on the planet
2) Suspended a huge amount of the manufacturing of new guns and ammo.
This effectively guaruntee's that the supply of ammunition manufactured in China, targetted for the US, will eventually run out and there won't be much else to take it's place.
When it get's to the point that 2013 Chinese manufactured ammunition hit's the shelves (if there is any at all) I think it's entirely possible the price for it will reflect the exponentially increased commodity prices.
Whether that comes this year or 5 years from now, I'm not concerned with. It's a guarantee - which is why I think under $450, these 1600 round crates are an absolute steal. Heck, under $500 it's a deal.
Absolutely ammunition is an investment. I have a VERY strong feeling that 5-10 years from now, I will be selling much of this ammo for $1-5/round. That's just the thing - I have the discipline to hold onto tangible investments like this over a timeframe like that. I don't think most people do.