I just tried this out for my own learning curve with varget yesterday. The last time the gun was shot was on a match on Aug long weekend, and it was hot, 25-27 deg, yesterday I took the gun out left the ammo outside for 1 hour on the bench it was -24 with the wind chill.
Results were 1 inch high at 100 yards for 5 shots.
Put the some ammo in my pocket went inside for 15 mins and warmed them up to room tem.
Results same POI as in Aug X rings.
so about 50 deg temp change only resulted in 1 inch elevation change high, makes perfect sence to me, as the pressure should be lower.
I tried this in the summer as well, as I had a hot gun and left the bullet in the chamber to build heat, almost the same result but not as much, half inch low
Even the Extreme powders change a bit, but not as much as the other pwders