That aligns with what I suspected / mentioned earlier above.
A 10" barrel leaves a little on the table and the bullet in an 18" barrel will have maxed out long before it reaches the end of the barrel hence why the two are similar velocities.
It does make me think that a comp on a 10" would have enough gas for some effect, less so on an 18".
What you say is not always true. Where loads max out is very much a feature of any particular powder. A fast burning powder is going to max out sooner than a slow burning powder. With the 9MM there is not much wiggle room between the entry level load and the maximum. Most loading from min to maximum rarely exceed .5 grains. With that in mind when choreographing loads you really need to test with at least 10 rounds to get meaning full load data IMHO.
Here are some comparisons:
4.1Gr Win 231 Lyman 125 gr 356402 Truncated Cone
CX 4 Storm 16" 1283 fps
FX 9 10" 1235 fps
5 Gr CFE Pistol 125 gr BDX RN
PPQ Match 5" 1098 fps
CZ Combat 4.9" 1054 fps
FX 9 10" 1267 fps
Raven9 18.5" 1284 fps
Pretty much confirms your observations. These variations really are not significant as it relates to bullet performance at handgun distancers. Extreme Spreads of 50 fps to 75 fps are common among loads I have tested and Average Deviations can exceed as much as 20fps. I tend to look for loads with SD under 10. That said I cannot say with certainty that one load performs significantly better than another when my intended target is 8" in diameter and 7 to 20 yards away. I try to limit my quests to the minimum required to safely meet 135PF for IDPA in PCC and 125 PF in SSP.
The only reason I went to a shorter barrel was the shorter barreled gun is easier to manipulate around obstacles than a 16 or 18 inch barreled carbine. IMHO there is little to no benefit in gain or loss in accuracy between barrel lengths. Some gains can be had for running a comp which might be offset by slightly better velocities using the longer barreled gun but even then, from a practical point of view .....if your set up allows for a flat shooting gun, makes PF and is easy for you to manipulate around obstacles......practice should be your goal not much else is going to help your scores.
For me, at best a Marksman level PCC shooter or in IPSC Parlance a C Class shooter once my gun is shooting flat there is little I can do to improve my scoring but practicing techniques, accepting my level of physicality and enjoying my time with the guys.
Take Care
Bob
ps ACD if your comp works well at 16" I think it is safe to say it would work well at 18". Slower powders should work better in our comps at longer barrels than fast burning powders. I don'y have any 800X at hand but there is a slow powder that might be worth exploring in my longer barreled carbines. From my experience it was to slow IMHO in 5" pistols.