Update On Ontario Restricted Transfer Times
- Thread starter pygmalion2020
- Start date
Ontario Transfers
My very rough estimates based on a tiny bit of data we have
5900000 = Mid September
5920000 = Late November
5940000 = Early February 2023
5960000 = Early May 2023
5980000 = Early June 2023
Guns bought today will be approved sometime in September of 2023 at the current rates.
I'm not a statistician, just a guy with a little bit of data and a trendline. Obviously not written in stone, a rough guide
My very rough estimates based on a tiny bit of data we have
5900000 = Mid September
5920000 = Late November
5940000 = Early February 2023
5960000 = Early May 2023
5980000 = Early June 2023
Guns bought today will be approved sometime in September of 2023 at the current rates.
I'm not a statistician, just a guy with a little bit of data and a trendline. Obviously not written in stone, a rough guide
That's eye opening wrt them still working on June 1st transfers!
My first one (of 10 over ~6 weeks) was bought the 3rd of June & initiated the 5th of June... 59117**
- Location
- Chatham Kent
Thanks James! in the 3000's now atleast. I would like to see 4000 by the end of next week.
Are the phones horribly backed up again? I called a transfer in on the 18th of July. Me and the other party got through on the first try with a maybe 5 minute wait
To keep my excitement to a reasonable level, I'm going to assume the lowest possible completion rate.... that the 5892### was a high number (like 5892995) and the 58930XX was a low number (like 5893005). I can still optimistically hope that my 58941XX should be here by the end of next week. Might book off Thursday or Friday for a range day...
Don't bother. You won't get the registration certificate for a few weeks after the transfer.
mactroneng
CGN Ultra frequent flyer
- Location
- SW Ontario
What's your number (less the last 2 digits if you want some privacy)
The first two weeks of June are going to take months if this is any indicate. The week of June 6th is something like 1/4 - 1/3 of all the transfers in the queue.
just for fun (and everyones reference point) i just last hour recieved a fresh reference number: 5994*** (person-person). I guess it might be a nice xmas present....
this great chart from nicolas supports one of the comments above that after the early surge sales are cleared, hopefully the remainder will clear at a "faster daily" rate. (application dates will appear to move faster, but it will be becuase there were fewer applications on those later dates)
this great chart from nicolas supports one of the comments above that after the early surge sales are cleared, hopefully the remainder will clear at a "faster daily" rate. (application dates will appear to move faster, but it will be becuase there were fewer applications on those later dates)
here is the chart (i was unable to post it directly, apparenltly i'm not that smart)
https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/10839311/?utm_source=showcase&utm_campaign=visualisation/10839311
https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/10839311/?utm_source=showcase&utm_campaign=visualisation/10839311
relayer1989
CGN Regular
- Location
- Belleville, Ontario
Be nice to see another completed private-to-private number as they appear to be moving on a different stream from the business to private.
Sorry i may have misled you, this was just an application for transfer completed this morning. It will surely be many many months until the transfer is approved and a TAN issued.
To clarify the process, It is a fact that the CFC issues the transfer reference numbers sequentially, nationally. First come first served.
I think the only reason there is some variation in the current number being reported processed by members is that processing is completed by the CFO office IN THE BUYERS PROVINCE. It's conceivable that smaller provinces with fewer citizens (and thus fewer transfers) see quicker processing. (though one could also suspect there might be less resources at the CFO office in those provinces). For provinces where the RCMP provides CFO function, who knows....but it is probably a separate office with separate staff since RCMP divide the country into divisions, which in some cases correlate with provincial borders.
I don't think business vs indiviudal has anything to do with which is processed. Each CFO just takes the next buyer in their province in the list.
The big win for business is that they can use the web portal for transfers, whereas indivuidals must call (or send in the paper transfer form).
If future posters also state the province they are in when they report a completed transfer number, we should see a trend develop.
To clarify the process, It is a fact that the CFC issues the transfer reference numbers sequentially, nationally. First come first served.
I think the only reason there is some variation in the current number being reported processed by members is that processing is completed by the CFO office IN THE BUYERS PROVINCE. It's conceivable that smaller provinces with fewer citizens (and thus fewer transfers) see quicker processing. (though one could also suspect there might be less resources at the CFO office in those provinces). For provinces where the RCMP provides CFO function, who knows....but it is probably a separate office with separate staff since RCMP divide the country into divisions, which in some cases correlate with provincial borders.
I don't think business vs indiviudal has anything to do with which is processed. Each CFO just takes the next buyer in their province in the list.
The big win for business is that they can use the web portal for transfers, whereas indivuidals must call (or send in the paper transfer form).
If future posters also state the province they are in when they report a completed transfer number, we should see a trend develop.
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It does explain why it's taking so long to clear the 1 June transfers.
