Wildlife Bio here (retired). Several good comments above.
This PDF downloadable link is one of the best references for white tailed deer in Ontario:
https://www.ontario.ca/page/forest-management-white-tailed-deer-habitat
Its context is forest management, but its foundation is WT deer ecology.
When the PDF links, download it onto your hard drive. Then Adobe should let you search on key words.
Example: Search on "
snow" and you will find a ton of info related to your question (i.e. winter energy budgets and expected body condition of pregnant does in the spring, fawn birth weights, etc.)
"Winter Severity Index" for WT deer gets complicated, depending on who you read, and geographically where the analysis is being done. For example, southern boreal forest WT deer range and habitat and behaviour is going to be different than southern Ontario deciduous forest and farmland. There is no one magic number for snow depth and winter severity thresholds. However a basic starting concept is 40 to 50 cm for un-crusted snow depth. But deer have already changed their behaviour, physiology, and diet long before the snow reaches that depth.
Crust has already been mentioned above, and that can be a significant modifier for behaviour and mortality.
The predators also don't have to burn as much energy in the shallow snow and warmer temperatures. So making predictions is not easy. Local coyote and wolf population densities are a big factor.