Well I might have to reverse myself on that. I knew pressures would rise a bit but I didn't realise that it was quite on that order. Glad to have learned something.
When I ran the numbers I was also VERY surprised.
Also, the maximum pressures are generated when the bullet has travelled about 1/8" from where it is seated in the case. At the standard pressure and OAL, the max pressure is generated after about 1/4" of travel.
Short, straight wall cartridges are most affected by bullet setback.
In this example, a 9mm with a 125gr RN bullet, the interior case volume was reduced from 0.514 to 0.287 cm3, a 44% reduction. Obviously setting a bullet back in a longer case straight wall case or in a bottleneck case will have substantially less effect because the PERCENTAGE decrease in case volume is less.
I prefer posting with solid information, and not just speculation. I hope this has helped.
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