A lot of people assume that the WWII era firearms they're currently purchasing will be worth a hefty sum down the road but it's very difficult to say what the future truly has in store. Being a young collector I've pondered this subject many times and have concluded that the items will probably only hold their value if there's still an interest in them. Look at American Civil War items for example - the bottom has completely fallen out of that market. I feel as though this occurred for two main reasons. The first being that the next generation of collectors didn't pick up where the older generation left off and the second being that Confederate items became so heavily faked that people stopped buying them all together. I wouldn't be surprised if German militaria from WWII ended up in the same boat down the road as it's already very risky to purchase certain SS items.
Another factor that needs to be considered is the fiscal aspect of collecting. In recent years the value of certain items has increased exponentially. There are a number of people on this forum that probably remember purchasing matching K98s for $300 back in the early 80s but they presently can't really be touched in Canada for under $2K (provided that the person you're buying from knows what they have). If you look at the figures, the prices of these items have nearly hextupled in the last few decades. If these trends continue a matching K98 would theoretically be going for around $12K by 2045. The only problem with that theory is... who the hell's going to be able to afford them? Realistically, I think that the gents who started collecting in the 70s/80s are the ones who have been able to cash in on their initial investments but I'm betting that the market will eventually stagnate leaving younger collectors like you or I stuck with certain items that we thought would be worth a lot more then they actually turned out to be. For this reason, I collect because it genuinely gives me great pleasure to preserve history .... but am not banking on some kind of fantastic fiscal return on my investments down the road.
Plus... who knows if we'll even be permitted to own firearms in here in Canada in 40-50 years. Unlike our southern neighbours, we don't have any clauses in our constitution that entrench the ownership of firearms as a right so this leaves the future of our hobby on pretty uncertain ground if you asked me...
- Chris