Back from the range and I don't think my first cold bore shot shift is from velocity. Setup is a 16" Lilja barrel with a Spearhead tuner and fouled with well over 600 rounds with Rem/Eley Match and indoor range. Last range session and today's first shot at the 1 o'clock and about half inch from POA. Can't remember past range sessions cause it was not what I was looking for.
Velocity shots 1 - 10:
1101
1095
1089
1094
1093
1089
1094
1098
1091
1087
Shot 1 - 100:
Hi 1109
Lo 1080
Ave 1093
ES 29
SD 5.8
I will try the straw method on my next range session and see what velocity I get from the first shot. Setting up the Garmin is so easy compared the Magnetospeed and Shooting Chrony.
nice to see that your results mimic what I think many shooters will find. Velocity may or may not be different from the rest of the group, AND that has little to no indication where that first bullet is going to go.
Velocity alone is NOT going to tell you if a shot is in or out of a group.... nor will it tell you if that shot is high or low. Work with different brands of match ammo and you will likely find varying results to both support and contradict this theory.
I believe it has to do with the bullet coating vs powder used... and how this ages in the bore. Some types/combos just seem to 'toss' that first shot out further. I also believe that ambient TEMP can really affect whether you will see that 'toss' or not....
would love to see the collection of data with info like Barrel manf, chamber style/type, barrel length, ammo brand/type, standardised number of rds fired before test (say 50rds), ambient temp, ambient humidity, barrel surface temp.
About the only thing I expect to see is a certain brand having more or less 'toss' vs another brand of ammo (I think bullet coatings may have alot to do with this issue).... but with so many variables in the ammo alone, then adding all the variables of different rifles, likely there will be so much 'noise' that results will overlap and no trend can be established.
So it will boil down to the individual set up and how that behaves for any one shooter.
Jerry