I don't think so. Your line on the muzzle device is too high; you can white between it and the black of the barrel. It needs to be lower, basically touching the oval you have drawn.
The other thing strongly suggesting to me it's an 11.5" bbl with no moderator is that the Army had known for nearly a decade at that point there were functioning and accuracy issues with the 10" barrel. That's why they went to 11.5 starting with the E2. It doesn't make sense to me that eight years after they figured that out, and after the progression from duckbill to 3.5" moderator to 4.5" moderator someone would stick a flash hider on a 10" barrel 609. It can only be a 609/XM177E1 given the fwd assist and assuming it has a 10" barrel. It would basically be a backwards modification decreasing already poor functioning. It's possible, yes. But I think far less likely than it being an XM177E2 with no moderator. It also looks too long to be a birdcage flash hider, but exactly the right length for an E2.
Do you know how thin those barrels are? Why is it suddenly so thick after the front sight? You don't need anymore proof, it's so obvious I wonder why you keep challenging it.