As to why the P38 hasnt caught up with collectors ?? I think it's on a long term basis that we'll see an real increase in value on these....(but there are some very serious Collectors of these in Canada !!)
You're right on when you say ''everyone wants a Luger'' ....but who's buying ?? Gone are the days (except for that lucky shot everyone dreams of) when you could buy an all-matching WWI / WWII Luger for $500.00. High grade specimens go in the 1K range nowadays so again ``who's buying ?? Not too many of those prospective buyers are ready to dish out that amount of cash for one....Plus the fact it's a 12-6 !! Holders of this classification are diminishing fast in the last few years !! I personally lost a few fellows last 2 years...
So when there's gonna be no one left to posess Lugers THE WWII German sidearm to have will be the P38. Long term I believe...
From a different perspective I'll say that real Canadian Collectors of both Luger & P38 pistols are only a handfull. I'm not talking about the ''guy that has one'' & says he's collecting, talking serious Collectors here...As I consider myself one of those I'll simply submit the following situation happening too often: should I buy this example which I already have in double in my collection ?? Do I need a triple specimen of this specific common variation ?? Clear answer is NO !! Sometimes this is the situation on hand for that collector considering a purchase on the EE....so the pistol gets ``btt'' a few weeks in a row...because that guy was the only possible buyer for this piece !! Common & average stuff will most often get passed by, high grade / rare pieces get snapped in a flash...
Case in point for all serious German WWII sidearms afectionados....How long do you thing this one would last on the EE ??
I guess everyone has ID'd it properly as a German SVW 45 ''F'' block, WaA135 proofed produced in the first week of April 1945 (Mauser plant fell to the Allies third week of April 1945). This specific pistol is the only SVW 45 WaA135 proofed P38 I've encountered in many years of collecting...and there's already a lineup on it for the day I'll decide to part with it...(another case in point: collectors often trade pieces directly so these dont go on the open markets)
Lastly I'll talk about Spreewerk P38s...''the neglected child'' of the wartime P38s. Yup their fit & finish isnt on par with Mauser / Walther but they are very interesting pistols to collect !! 8th different variations, incredible differences on the various barrel bands produced (this alone makes them fun to collect), the ''broken die'' theory for the CVQ marked ones (how many have you seen ??) the last effort # 00 series.....etc. Someday they'll be recognized for what they are !!
In closing, dont forget the economy of the last few years. Flat, very flat on all counts everywhere....When it's gonna be back to standards, P38s values will get back up there where they were....
Mk