A fairly new gun owner here, with a Ruger PCC. I am looking for my next rifle, ideally once that won't make the list before October 2025. I am trying to identify the pattern they are going after since it's no longer high velocity. Is it all semi-autos or just magazine-fed? What are the chances semi-auto shotguns will make the list?
There are, in my view, some overarching sentiments that should help us to consider future buying decisions:
1. As long as this Liberal government are in power (with the days ticking down), they will and have always been an enemy of the firearms community. They can spew some tripe about still supporting hunters, etc., but as the old adage goes, actions speak louder than words. I have long adopted the high level position that no gun is safe, regardless what I personally may think about certain makes models. There is a danger in looking over a list and breathing a sigh of relief thinking that somehow our guns survived this round. If we all keep in mind what the end game is, we won't have the rose coloured glasses thinking that we can somehow outfox these dictators, who control both the legislative, executive regulatory machinery as well as the messenger (media) with a highly biased and tainted message which is not aligned with the values of our community.
2. Aside from what has been banned in 2020 and last week, look at the common characteristics - yes, it is mostly aesthetics, but the government's new "evergreen" provision in C21 provides some clues as to their criteria (I was going to say thinking, but that's way too generous to ascribe to the government). So consider that since last year, new makes and models will NOT be allowed that are semi auto, centerfire, and have detachable mag natively holding more than 5 or whatever - the whole pinned/riveted exemption is gone) If that is their standard going forward, they are now just going backwards and culling everything else. Again, we have to keep in mind their overall strategy if you want to look at patterns.
3. Pure aesthetics. Otherwise, how can they justify removing the GSG-16? That one doesn't fall into their "evergreen" definition, but as most people realize, it is purely aesthetics for these non-firearms dummies that somehow are now the "experts". Whether you have a shotgun, lever, semi auto rimfire, pump, hinge or whatever - if it is black and looks modern - be wary, because the people doing these assessments won't know the difference. I suggest manufacturers will pivot towards more traditional looking guns for the Canadian market (at least Canadian manufacturers will, whoever is left.
4. As long as this government is in power, be aware of functional alternatives and assume the risk/reward. Be prepared that what you may feel is safe today will get banned in February. Will a traditional bolt action be banned in February? Possible but unlikely. How about a pump action shotgun with a tube mag or a lever action rifle with a tube mag? Again, possible, but unlikely. It all comes down to the same old risk/reward calculation, in keeping in mind their evergreen characteristics and attributes.
You ask about semi-auto shotguns. That one I don't know. I do think some models, based on aesthetics, has a very high likelihood of being banned in some way (and that is said being the owner of one of them). Other ones - very common waterfowl hunting SAs - less than likely, but with semi-auto anything - the ignoramuses who are advising the government couldn't tell you the different a semi-auto and a semi-colon. These people don't employ common sense, don't have any appreciation for empirical and objective facts, and couldn't give a monkey's armpit about cultural heritage and way of life. There is also a very distinctly anti-male nuance to all these decisions - just look at who they had during the announcement last Thursday. Whether it's the Poly "women", the Cukiers, the Damoff types - they project a position, even if it is not overtly spoken, that gun owners are somehow a threat to females.
There are some semi auto older surplus-type guns which both Poly and the media continue to ask about - Trudeau will likely capitulate to these people and give them what they want in due course to try to leave on a note in which he can brag about accomplishing this and that. Some may be more wary to be in this market. This came out in the Q&A from the media last Thursday...and the Polys have certain guns on their hitlist.
But on the other hand, here's the thing. It is very possible that all of this nonsense can be reversed in due course. Clearly with what just happened stateside, the electorate as a whole has given a straight repudiation of leftist, woke, progressive policies. It is inevitable that Trudeau will be out by next election and I believe the CPC will have a majority. Hopefully by then common sense will prevail and the decisions we make today to continue to buy whatever guns we can, will be rewarded with more freedom for us to enjoy not only what we still have, but what the Liberals have banned for the past number of years.