You clearly don't understand the concept I am referring to... I am not talking about a specific price at a specific time period. I only threw in the "2022" date because you missed the concept the first time. Of course, we all live with inflation, we already pay more than $50/lb... that number was arbitrary. My point is, that at the point where consumers stop buying, retailers stop retailing, distributors stop distributing and manufacturers stop manufacturing. So who has the real power here. Supply and demand, my friend... it sets the market at every level... they will seek to lighten our wallets right to the point where we say; " Nah, I can live without that."
I didn't miss your concept. If a seller has to pay more for a product and has to maintain overhead, they're going to charge a certain percentage on top of what they pay to get it to the till and out the door. It's simple economics.
If their prices go down, like they did when there was the shortage of 22rf ammo a few years back, then they should cut their prices accordingly, like most did, without being forced to do so.
With Hogdon's buying up most of the producers recently, that's going to create a shortage, if they try to amalgamate the facilities by closing some and expanding others. This will create a relatively long term shortage, similar to what we're seeing in the price of oil and NG.
When they start producing again, will they limit their output to keep prices higher???? Maybe.
If the world looks like it's going to get into a shooting war in Europe, over Ukraine????? Then expect this drought to continue or even get worse until a few years after the conflict is settled.
Last week, I had ten pounds of powder that became surplus to my needs. I phoned a couple of friends to see if any of them wanted it at $40/lb, which is what I paid for it.
It was all Enduron powders 4166/4451, five pounds of each.
One fellow, very generously turned it down, because he felt he was OK for a while and someone else would appreciate it more.
In all, I phone three people and between them they took it all. They're all what I would term "moderate" shooters and the powder will likely last them for a couple of years. One took all of the 4451 and the other two split the 4166.
It was a blessing for all three of them, as they all have families that come first and they were out of powder, but didn't want to pay the $75-$85 rates at the local stores, if they had it.
No, I don't have any left.
For the next two days, I kept getting phone calls from different people, most of whom I had never heard of, wanting to buy that powder and some were offering $80/pound.
The fellows I sold it to, just had to brag about the "deal" they just scored. Go figure.