Hi crout, I have no reason to doubt what you said. If you say you shot a 200 yard "3+1" group that measured .196"/.742", I'll take you at your word - as you rightly say, what's the point of lying?
I will say though that while I believe you that you shot such a group using a Savage 12BVSS (good rifle) with a Shilen barrel (good barrel), that I don't think that sub-0.5" 200yard groups are what can be expected on average. To be more explicit: every sub-1" 5-shot (or more) group at 200 yards group that you fire with your rifle is great, but it likely involves not only skill in shooting and quality in your ammo, but a certain degree of luck too. You'll only know for sure that luck isn't a major factor, when you can shoot a sub-1" 5-shot (or more) 200-yard group much more often than not.
You might find that your load development, and your assessment of your rifle's and your performance, is made easier by approaching it in two steps. I would suggest that you first attempt the seemingly-modest goal of being able to shoot 1/2-MOA or better groups of five shots or more (i.e. 1/2" or less at 100y, 1" or less at 200y, 1.5" or less at 300y) nearly all of the time. All shots count, except that you may declare a "flier" if you do so before you see it on paper (and if you do declare it to be a "flier", you must strike it from your group, even if it turns out to be a good-looking shot). Once you get this down solidly, go ahead and see if you can improve on this 1/2-MOA performance; with good gear, you may well be able to.
my other groups for for that day were 0.415"3 shot with the "flier" making the group 1.3" then i had a another 4shot measuring 0.81" the rest are over an inch. so only 2 of the 7 groups measured under 1"
So of seven four-shot groups at 200 yards, one measured 0.7" (3 into 0.2"), another measure 1.3" (3 into 0.81"), and five of them were "over an inch". Were all of the seven 4-shot 200 yards groups under 2"?
This actually sounds like reasonably good performance - every group (presumably) under one MOA, with 2 of the 7 groups in the 1/2-MOA neighbourhood. Sounds to me like you're probably getting an honest 3/4 MOA at this point (i.e. you can shoot a 1.5" or smaller 200yard group more or less at will - a performance which BTW, is good enough to win almost any kind of rifle match except for a benchrest match).
so i went back out today, fingers crossed. and elcrapo. my 24.7gr loaded to the same specs as the first day measured just under 2" for an 8 shot group? none of the 8 shots of the group grouped well. so i'm stumped. maybe my weigh scale is out of wack.
There's almost certainly nothing wrong with your scale. Just under 2" at 200 yard, for 8 shots, means that you got just under 1 MOA. Which is a pretty decent group size, when reporting things honestly (i.e. reporting every shot fired; firing 5 or more shots; etc)
i loaded up 15 others and changed seating depth by 0.005"
one group measured 1.112" the other was a verticle string measuring 1.716" and the last with the bullet just touching the rifling measured 0.875"
Welcome to statistical noise. You had one 5-shot (I assume) group that was about 0.55 MOA, another one that was 0.85 MOA, and another that was 0.43 MOA. It's possible that some of these differences are due to your .005" changes in seating depths, but it's also possible that 100% of the variations were due solely to group-to-group fluctuations. To eventually rule one or the other out, will require quite a few more groups to be fired.
Don't be discouraged though - those 15 shots you fired averaged 1.234" or 0.61 MOA. Which is pretty darn good. Even though you can probably improve upon this, if you never do, you have a rifle/ammo combination that seems to be shooting well enough to win most kinds of rifle matches out there.
so i guess back to the drawing board. first thing is to check my scale and see if it's the problem. 0.1gr can make a pretty big difference i guess.
0.1 grains of powder is *MOST* unlikely to be the culprit.
Try this (either in real life, or at least as a thought experiment): Load up 25 rounds, exactly the same, using the best load you've found so far. Fire five, 5-shot groups. Measure them. You will find that they are all different sizes, and that the difference from the smallest to the largest to the average will be quite large - even though you know for a fact that every group was fired with *exactly* the same ammo. This is due to statistical "noise".
When you are shooting two groups using *different* loads, you'll need to see changes bigger than this typical statistical "noise", in order for you to be sure that an improvement or worsening is actually "real", or just noise that looks like a real difference. If the difference is less than the "noise", there might be a real difference there, mixed in with the statistical noise; but it will take several groups in order to "filter out" the statistical noise and leave you with the real effect.