Trudeau's Gun Ban and Buy Back

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Polls... are... complete... bulls**t...

They are intended to create reality, not reflect it.

Again, every poll in provincial elections in the last few years has favored the left by as much as 15%. They are wishful thinking (at best) and propaganda (at worst).
 
baizuo

Baizuo (pronounced "bye-tswaw) is a Chinese epithet meaning naive western educated person who advocates for peace and equality only to satisfy their own feeling of moral superiority.

A baizuo only cares about topics such as immigration, minorities, LGBT and the environment while being obsessed with political correctness to the extent that they import backwards Islamic values for the sake of multiculturalism.

The Chinese see the baizuo as ignorant and arrogant westerners who pity the rest of the world and think they are saviors.

Justin Trudeau's worldview is a low-resolution caricature of an adult's worldview.

"Oh yeah. He's a total BAIZUO."
by ROCKSTEIN February 18, 2018
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1ABNDT said:
The polls don't show the people that voted by special ballots until the day of.
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Strangely enough there are two polls that show that.
One by Ekos, and one by Polly the Artificial Intelligence.

Ekos20191018_slide1.png


Ekos shows the Liberals were underrepresented,
and Polly says the Liberals were overrepresented.



Polly's results can be found at
The Agenda with Steve Paikin, 14 minutes, https://www.tvo.org/video/one-last-look-at-the-polls

Summary of The Agenda:

Does Polly, the artificial intelligence algorithm, have a more definitive view of what's to come? Erin Kelly is CEO of Advanced Symbolics Inc., and as she's done throughout this federal campaign, she's joins The Agenda to discuss what Polly is picking up as the race comes to a close.
The electorate is much less decided. Ontario Quebec are undecided. All leaders except Max Bernier are going to win their seats. PPC is not affecting Conservatives, in fact NDP are hurting Conservatives more than PPC. NDP is also taking votes from Liberals. Scheer's lack of climate change is hurting him.

Polly's opinion of Ontario ridings. More than 20 ridings undecided [looks like 37 in the below image]. Certainly Liberals are losing seats in Ontario.
PollPollyOntario20191018.png



Ontario is close. Catherine McKenna is at risk, despite being a high profile cabinet minister (3% ahead of NDP there). Minister Karina Gould (youngest cabinet minister ever) is also at risk (0% ahead, dead heat).
Surveyed Advanced Polls, historically the Conservative base votes, you can always count on them it's like a moral duty. Usually they make up their mind early and come out to the advanced polls, but we did not see that this time. Liberals were overrepresented in the advanced polls, and the greens were underrepresented. Young (20-35) urban professionals were more likely to vote in the advanced polls, to get it over with because Monday is busy, so that could be why the Liberals were overrepresented because they're in cities. Jane Phillpot & Jody Wilson-Raybould are neck-and-neck.
Quebec votes are shifting to Bloc due to pipelines. Quebec is proud of their clean energy, such as their hydro electric power from Labrador. Bloc says 'we don't want your dirty pipeline, when we have clean electricity'. Quebec exports electricity to the US, and wants to export electricity to Alberta. Quebec doesn't use as much carbon as other provinces, due to electricity, so they don't mind the carbon tax; but they don't like that Trudeau bought a pipeline and wants to run one through Quebec. Trudeau bought the pipeline to win Alberta, and that's not working (Liberals will likely be shut out of Alberta). Thus buying the pipeline cost him seats in Quebec, and didn't win him anything in Alberta, so it was a very poor strategy.
Polly polls 277,000 people all the time. Engagement is high, 4x what it was in 2015. That means more likely to turn out at polls. Also they're much more negative than the past election, which means people are more likely to stay at home. Polly hasn't had enough experience yet to determine which.
The conversations are about policy, not brand or leader. Thus in this election, that Scheer is bland isn't a problem, but releasing his policy so late hurt him.


Poly's Blog at
https://advancedsymbolics.com/news/
Seat-Range-Oct-19.png
 
Greenman said:
Well fellas we are 36 hours away , I feel confident that CPC will come out on top , if not ...well we will see what happens .
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Greenman, you have hit the proverbial nail on the head, after the Trump win I will never believe another partisan pollster again.
 
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