Are you looking for one buck to single out and put some time into patterning, or a random deer?
What I'm seeing around the Steinbach area is well developed trails around a water source right now. Much denser trail usage that normal.
If you follow these for a bit they invariably lead to either bigger trails, bedding or grazing areas. If you find an active bedding area trail leading to a water source, find out where the nearby grazing areas are - sometimes they sleep there as well. A blind location that takes these 3 areas into consideration will probably be successful.
Larger and older deer will begin covering substantially more ground towards the end of September, so if you're looking for a muzzleloader deer, I would begin looking for trails that cover some flooded or wetter swampy areas even if they are much drier than usual. This is where I see big bucks during muzzleloader season in dry years.
You can definately pattern a single buck at a watering hole, but I don't know how well that will work early season unless you are willing to pattern a few watering holes looking for that one "Mr. Big." I think you'd have to get lucky.
Later in the season, you can use estrus to draw one in.