Ammo can be a fickle mistress, not pretty but it might look that way
This morning it was sunny and very calm so I went to the range to shoot some ammo I've had for a few years. I took some Polar Biathlon I got in 2019. Back then the PB didn't consistently procuce the results I sought and I thought that perhaps my skills were not sufficiently reliable. I had forgotten about the PB ammo. I also had two lots of SK Rifle Match.
I fouled my bore with SK+ and, to check the POI with the faster Polar Biathlon ammo, I finished with five rounds of it. The five were almost exactly on POA, giving a sub-.4" ctc group at 100, a promising sign.
When I shot the first ten-shot group, I thought things were looking very promising indeed. The group, shown below, was .798" outside-to-outside. Converted to testing facility units of measurement, it's 20.3mm outside-to-outside size would be cause for joy at a testing facility.
As I continued, I soon remembered why I still had some of this ammo. It gives some good groups, but it has fliers every so often, enough to make the ammo unreliable. The second group was very promising until I took the eighth shot, the low stray on the top right bull below on the target on the left. The other targets with the same ammo are to the right.
I shot two boxes of the Polar Biathlon ammo. The third target above had its three ten-shot groups averaging .837". Overall, however, the ten ten-shot groups averaged 1.136".
The same thing can happen with any ammo. Even SK Rifle Match can seduce with some extraordinarily attractive results. The smallest ten-shot group I had today was with SK RM at .550". At 19.3mm outside-to-outside, there would again be cause for joy at a testing facility.
But put in perspective with its overall behaviour SK RM ammo is at best fickle. See the entire target below. It averaged 1.228". In all, I shot ten ten-shot groups with this lot of SK RM. The groups averaged 1.333".
A different lot of SK RM wasn't much better. For the first time, however, I had a target (middle, below) that had three groups with a .905" average. It was not repeatable, with the ten ten-shot groups averaging 1.210".
Match ammo can be like a fickle mistress. It can tempt with alluring appearances and tease with the seductive appeal of some extraordinary results. Shooters must be careful not to be led astray by a few tantalizing outcomes.
Never be swayed by the good looks of one or a couple good groups. When an ammo shows you both small and large groups, don't let yourself believe that the best groups are truly representative of what the ammo will do.
A good lot of match ammo will have strays, those errant shots that can spoil an otherwise good result by increasing group size by a little. A bad lot of ammo may produce some very enticing, small groups, but when they have strays, they will be far from home.