Question is: Does the accuracy tests provide the same results every time?
IME, the same box of ammo in the same rifle can provide substantially different results day to day.
Unfortunately, your experience is shared by many other rimfire shooters.
I feel this is in large part due to the ammo and how much it can vary with QC within the same lot. Unless you are using a top grade of Lapua or Eley (or similar) AND test various lots in hopes of finding a good one, you are dealing with fall down grades of 'match' ammo which can vary wildly within that batch.
Having sorted and tested a number of lots of SK rifle match over the years, it almost seems that it is a combination of various 'batches' in the same lot. Sometimes, great... sometimes, crap. And since the ammo itself can vary within the lot, you can easily get a 'good' box vs a 'bad' box.
At the extreme, you can shoot a superb group, followed by a shotgun pattern using ammo 2 rows away in the same tray. You are not nuts, there is really nothing wrong with your setup and rifle. The ammo varies that much and there is really no way to sort it out.
The lower the grade (cheaper the price), the wider this dispersion (or variation in QC).
To truly know what the ammo potential is, keep all the targets shot over various days and just overlap them. What you will see is a core of impacts and then 'rings' or secondary patterns of flyers. It helps if you are looking at a hundred or two of shots. This is the 'best' club grade ammo.
The really bad stuff will just have a wide and disperse group with no core, no real anything.... just a big group of impacts.... and it will be a large group.
This is why I question when someone says they always shoot (or average) 1" groups at 100yds with club grade ammo. The ammo just isn't that good.... want to really know how good or bad a batch of ammo is, push the distance towards 200yds. Now those flyers may be feet away from expected. Real easy to see them now.
Jerry
PS... also note that temp has a big impact on ammo too. If one day is +18C.. and the next is 5C, you can get wildly different results.